Saturday, June 10, 2006

UML Inching Towards Federalism


HoR Can Be Dissolved If It Ends Deadlock: Nepal

THT Online
Kathmandu, June 10

He said that his party is now discussing on "regional autonomy with parliamentary rights" adding that formal stand of the party will come out later.
The UML came around to a constituent assembly last year. It came around to a republic. Now looks like it is inching towards federalism. This is great news. Too bad the two Congress parties are nowhere close to coming to the idea of a federal republic. They will pay a huge price at the ballot box for it.

But if only the UML were to come around to federalism, that will fundamentally shift the balance. The country will get federalism.

If the two Congress parties do not come out for a federal republic, either the Maoists or the UML will emerge the largest party after the constituent assembly elections. Such is the mood in the country.

This shift on the part of the UML is really huge. Now the UML will be forced to come up with its version of federalism. How many states? How will those states be demarcated? That will open up a debate. It will be in the nature of the debate to open up dialogue on the larger questions of social justice. That will be positive.

The UML is key. It stands to tip the balance on both the republic question and the federalism question.

Imagine a scenario where the Koirala Congress and the Deuba Congress both stick to not supporting the idea of a federal republic, and their stand suffers a decisive defeat at the polls. And the country ends up a federal republic. That will give both parties a major downward blow in the aftermath. They will shrink further.

If Nepal could abolish the army, what would it matter if the Maoists could win at the ballot box? Of course they can contest, of course they can win.

Now another big issue is free and fair elections to the constituent assembly. We have to be very frank in terms of the preconditions. We can not be cowed, we can not be blackmailed. The seven party alliance has to be vocal in terms of making sure the Maoists do not drive a hard bargain that might look like a way to influence the assembly elections.

Prachanda talks in terms of his army, but he also talks in terms of his militia, which is his version of the police. So we are looking at two armed groups in the Maoist camp. This is tricky.

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