Showing posts with label FDRA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label FDRA. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 20, 2013

How The FDRA Could Bring In Baidya, Yadav, Rai

English: Sketch portrait of Pushpa Kamal Dahal...
English: Sketch portrait of Pushpa Kamal Dahal, President of the communist party of Nepal-maoist Français : Pushpa Kamal Dahal, président du parti communiste népalais-maoïste Italiano: Pushpa Kamal Dahal, Presidente del partito comunista del Nepal-maoista (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
The FDRA should leave no stone unturned to bring in the break away Maoist group, and Upendra Yadav's coalition and the two parties that broke away from the CPN(UML) and the NC as well fringe parties like those led by Sarita Giri.

The promise to turn Nepal into a multi-party democracy of state funded parties should bring in Baidya. A fair share of seats and a promise to form a two thirds majority government, not a simple majority government should bring in Yadav and his coalition. The same might work for the two Rais.

Already the FDRA is poised to hit 55-60%. But 60% is not enough. You need 66%. And the FDRA expanding to include Baidya, the Yadav led coalition and the two Rai led parties would suffice to bring forth a two thirds majority in the next assembly for a coalition of federalists.

Dealing With The CPN(M)
The State Of Nepali Politics: A Diagram

Ashok Rai's party to take to streets against Regmi govt
UCPN (M), 19 parties to have common manifesto
the main contentious issue of election manifesto is the issues related to Madhes. Madhes-based parties have pressed the Maoists to give priority to their agenda, while preparing the election manifesto ..... The meeting also entrusted FDRA head Pushpa Kamal Dahal to hold talks with other parties and bring them on board, forging election alliances.
चुनावमा जान नेकपा-माओवादीका पाँच सर्त
एमाले नेता झा एमाओवादीमा प्रवेश गर्ने तयारीमा
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A Nitish Kumar model for India or a Modi model for Bihar?
Modi declared that the business of governments was not business. He talked of harnessing solar energy by installing panels over canals and he suggested partial privatization of that holy cow, the railways .... Presently, 11 states have the special-status tag: the seven North-eastern States, Sikkim, Uttarakhand, Jammu and Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh. .... The gap between the per capita income of Bihar and the national per capita income has kept widening since 1950-51 ..... “For Bihar, acceleration of the rate of growth of around 11 percent during the Eleventh Plan to around 13 percent during the Twelfth Plan will require a massive increase in total investment (public and private)—from around 29.9% in Eleventh Plan to around 45% during the Twelfth Plan period. This has got to be financed by domestic and government savings.”
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FDRA's Awesome Move

English: Pushpa Kumar Dahal (also known as Pra...
English: Pushpa Kumar Dahal (also known as Prachanda), prime minister of Nepal, during av visit to Norway in March 2009 ‪Norsk (bokmål)‬: Pushpa Kumar Dahal (også kjent som Prachanda), Nepals statsminister, under et besøk i Norge i mars 2009 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
To contest with one candidate everywhere is awesome. This will bring about a victory to the federalism cause. The FDRA should go one step further and bring in many other federalist parties under the FDRA tent. Upendra Yadav, Sharad Singh, Sarita Giri, Ashok Rai, Gopal Rai come to mind.

FDRA to go to polls with single manifesto
common manifesto, common candidates and a common agenda. .... FDRA leaders have been arguing that the alliance is a new force favoring federal states based on ethnic identity. ..... The meeting on Tuesday also decided to expand the FDRA in all districts. It will decide through consensus which alliance party will head the alliance in which district.
प्रमुख दलहरु 'चुनावी मैदानमा होमिदै'
Every political party in Nepal has sought support from intelligence agencies in India, the US and Europe: Prof. SD Muni
It’s a hobbyhorse in Nepal to go on beating about RAW and intelligence agencies. Yes, RAW and intelligence agencies are there. They work. They sometimes work correctly, sometimes incorrectly, sometimes they vitiate the problem, sometimes they are unable to do anything. You can’t peg all your decision making, all your developments in Nepal just on intelligence agencies. That shows the level of understanding of the Indian political system. Tell me actually how many Nepalese are understanding or reading or studying the Indian political system how it works? Intelligence agencies are not the only factor, only force in the political system.
Regmi takes oath as poll govt head amid protests
Yadav's front protests reduction of PR seats
No polls by June if preparations delayed: EC
Parties still hold all the power: Bhattarai
Muslims' rights are a far cry in Nepal
Their literacy rate and human development index is lesser than Dalits and people from backward districts in the Karnali region. ..... Muslim women have their distinct identity in terms of religion, ethnicity, culture and rituals and they have been facing triple discrimination –first, in terms of being women; second, in terms of being Muslim; and thirdly, being discriminated against among Muslims for being Muslim women. .... there are really good provisions in the Quran relating to Muslim daughters/women. It says both sons and daughters be given education or trained equally; if it’s not done, it is a sin. .... Muslims are found in most of the 75 districts of Nepal even though they are concentrated mainly in Tarai and western hill districts. ..... Muslims form the largest single population groups in five Tarai districts - Banke, Rautahat, Kapilbastu, Parsa and Bara. .... Muslims form the single largest group in five other districts - Dhausha, Mahottari, Sarlahi, Sunsari and Siraha. ..... Muslims are worse off than other groups especially in health indicators such as antenatal care, total fertility rates, and early childhood mortality. ..... Nepali Muslims are mostly Sunni but a small minority is Shia .... 96 per cent of Nepal’s Muslims live in Tarai. ..... despite the fact that Muslims commonly refer to verses from the Quran and Sunna such as ‘Seek knowledge from cradle to grave’ and ‘Every Muslim boy or girl should pursue his or her education as far as possible.’ ..... the national level political parties continue to treat Muslims as token representatives. While most of these national parties have formed Muslim Fronts as their parties’ sister organizations, the lack of representation of Muslims in the central committees indicates that the gesture of creating the Muslim Fronts is to only exploit the Muslim vote bank.
The symbolic of disorder
Hegemony works because its subjects accept it not just willingly but enthusiastically. ..... for the BCN ‘patriots,’ Binod will forever be a Marwari who manipulated his way to the top. The billionaire’s achievements then become the cause of jealousy and resentment rather than admiration and inspiration. ..... The most happening place in Bhairahawa, the gateway to Lumbini, is the Devkota Chowk. ..... Awadhis try their best to impress officers manning outposts of the state in the frontier district by speaking in Nepali and repeatedly fail to properly express themselves. ..... It was King Mahendra who killed the diversity of the country and sapped the creativity of the countryside with his one-language, one-culture, one-religion and one-dress formula. ..... Macaulay manufactured the Brown Englishman and enchained the Indian mind for a long time to come. ..... Mahendrism has produced Nationalist Madheshis who refuse to realize that they would perhaps be better Nepalis by being what they are rather than wasting their energy in becoming what they can never authentically be. ..... Despite the wave of the Madhesh Uprising, voters of Kapilvastu sent Dip Kumar Upadhyaya (Lamichhane?) to the dissolved Constituent Assembly where he spent more time running down Madheshi aspirations for federalism and inclusion than in protecting, let alone promoting, their interests. ..... An influential section of Madheshis has been conditioned to accept their humiliation (“the enforced lowering of a person or group, a process of subjugation that damages or strips away their pride, honor or dignity”) as normal and are frightened to emerge out of the mainstream mask. Recognition of difference is perhaps the point of departure for empowerment.
Dahal-Bhattarai rift persists
I will quit in three days: PM
E/J for PM?
SC seeks another clarification on CJ-led govt

Binod Chaudhary enlisted in Forbes' global billionaires list
Fifty-seven-year-old Chaudhary, who skipped college to join family business at the age of 18, is listed as 1,342nd richest person in the world and has been termed as the richest person in Nepal ..... Chaudhary shares his global billionaire ranking with 84 other individuals who have also been ranked 1,342nd richest people on the Earth. ..... “Chaudhary is Nepal´s first billionaire but built most of his fortune overseas,” the Forbes said on its website. “His Cinnovation/Chaudhary Group, owns among much else, popular instant noodle brand Wai Wai, a controlling stake in Nepal´s Nabil Bank and a string of luxury hotels with India´s Taj hotel chain.”
Chances of CJ-led govt slim: Koirala
CJ-led govt within two days: PM
Gupta files contempt of court case against PM, DPM
Veep-led govt demanded
Paras starts communicating, taking water sips
CPN-Maoist to boycott election under CJ-led govt: Gajurel

Step in right direction
The Burma Road

Rahul Gandhi initiates transparency in Congress, trying to understand organisational problems
Taskforce proposes 11-member neutral cabinet under CJ

Parties closer to deal on poll govt
FDRA partners mull severing ties with Maoist
Citizenship for Madhesi: A matter of state headache or of right and justice
CJ-led govt India's brainchild: CPN-Maoist
Overwhelming majority against CJ-led govt
UML top brass ready for CJ-headed govt

'विकल्पमा छलफल गर्न सकिन्छ'
गगन थापासंग-13.02.13

PM tells ministers to be ready to quit
Entire Madhes, single province unacceptable

Nitish Kumar boasts of impressive 20% increase in state’s plan size
Thai queen's offer of 100kg gold to build Buddhist dome raises security fears for Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar
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Takes two to make or break an alliance: Yashwant Sinha to Nitish Kumar
Nitish's Bihar overtakes Modi's Gujarat as fastest growing state in the country
In a huge turnaround, Bihar has emerged as the fastest growing state in the country with figure of 10.9 per cent, overtaking Gujarat whose growth has dipped. ..... Gujarat was the fastest growing state between 2001 and 2005 with figure of 11 per cent. But during 2006 and 2010, its growth dipped to 9.3 per cent and was overtaken by Bihar and four other states -- Chhattisgarh, Haryana, Maharashtra and Orissa. .... Chhattisgarh grew from 7.7 per cent in 2001-05 to 10 per cent growth, Haryana grew from 8.4 per cent to 9.7 per cent, Maharashtra from 8.2 per cent to 9.6 per cent and Orissa from 7.8 per cent to 9.4 per cent. .... Average GDP growth of top five states was 9.10 per cent in 11th five year plan, up from 7 per cent in 10th plan and 5 per cent in 9th plan. .... Bottom five states also saw a significant average growth, with figures of 8.58 per cent in 11th plan as compared to 6.76 per cent in 10th plan and 4.12 per cent in 9th plan. ..... The period between 2004-05 and 2011-12 also saw an average increase of 300 per cent in consumption in rural areas, bridging the big divide witnessed in the earlier five-year period and highlighting the inclusive growth. ..... In the 12th plan period, the Centre is set to increase its assistance substantially over the previous period for various programmes..... Among them, Integrated Child Development Service (ICDS) is going to be the biggest beneficiary with Rs.1,08,503 crore, marking around 396 per cent increase...... For National Health Mission, the increase in allocation will be 278 per cent from Rs.66,127 crore in 11th plan to Rs.250,000 crore in the 12th plan.
Didn't ask BJP to announce PM candidate in advance, clarifies Nitish Kumar


Rahul Gandhi steps up 2014 poll plan
The states where the Congress is looking for alliances in the run-up to the next Lok Sabha elections scheduled in 2014 are Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh and some northeastern states. .... The Congress has been out of power in major states of Gujarat, Uttar Pradesh and Bihar for decades, while it broke up its alliance with the Trinamool Congress at the centre and in West Bengal last year...... Among the 12-odd states where the Congress rules, only Andhra Pradesh, Rajasthan and Assam are major. In Maharashtra, it is in an uneasy coalition with the Nationalist Congress Party.
People proposing me for PM not my well-wishers, says Nitish
The JD-U is the second-largest party in the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA)..... Last year, Panchayati Raj and Rural Works Minister Bhim Singh had triggered a controversy when he asked the BJP to declare Nitish Kumar as the NDA's prime ministerial nominee.
Pained at my name being floated for PM candidate: Nitish Kumar
Singh was also quoted as saying that more often than not the bridegroom never says that he is ready for marriage, in an apparent reference to Kumar's eligibility to be projected as the prime ministerial candidate by the NDA.
Nitish Kumar wants BJP to name PM nominee, later denies saying so
On August 16, last year, he had denied having given any interview to a magazine saying he will break his alliance with BJP if Gujarat chief minister Narendra Modi is made its PM candidate in the 2014 polls. .... Jethmalani has said Modi is the best candidate and that he is "impeccably secular".
Gachchhadar rejects CJ for PM

Prez should endorse poll-related ordinances: SP
Mahato said the national consensus government should be formed under the leadership of an independent person..... the Madhes-based party has also decided to expand its organizations in all the 75 districts within next three months to accommodate leaders from all communities in the party.
Opposition agitation sans key agendas‚ says Madhesi leader
Nitish agrees with Anna that JP dreams remain unfulfilled
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Why the big gap between trust in leaders and the institutions they lead? Edelman suggests that leaders have been slow to adapt to the requirements of a world in which top down is no longer the best way to lead, or in many cases even a viable one. Suffice it to say, there is nothing more top down than trying to lead the world from high up a mountain.
Islam and science: The road to renewal
In 2005 Harvard University produced more scientific papers than 17 Arabic-speaking countries combined. The world’s 1.6 billion Muslims have produced only two Nobel laureates in chemistry and physics. Both moved to the West: the only living one, the chemist Ahmed Hassan Zewail, is at the California Institute of Technology. By contrast Jews, outnumbered 100 to one by Muslims, have won 79. The 57 countries in the Organisation of the Islamic Conference spend a puny 0.81% of GDP on research and development, about a third of the world average. America, which has the world’s biggest science budget, spends 2.9%; Israel lavishes 4.4%..... A Muslim scientific awakening is under way. And the roots of scientific backwardness lie not with religious leaders, but with secular rulers, who are as stingy with cash as they are lavish with controls over independent thought. ..... Between the eighth and the 13th centuries, while Europe stumbled through the dark ages, science thrived in Muslim lands. The Abbasid caliphs showered money on learning. The 11th century “Canon of Medicine” by Avicenna (pictured, with modern equipment he would have relished) was a standard medical text in Europe for hundreds of years. In the ninth century Muhammad al-Khwarizmi laid down the principles of algebra, a word derived from the name of his book, “Kitab al-Jabr”. Al-Hasan Ibn al-Haytham transformed the study of light and optics. Abu Raihan al-Biruni, a Persian, calculated the earth’s circumference to within 1%. And Muslim scholars did much to preserve the intellectual heritage of ancient Greece; centuries later it helped spark Europe’s scientific revolution. ....... Accurately calculating the beginning of Ramadan (determined by the sighting of the new moon) motivated astronomers. The Hadith (the sayings of Muhammad) exhort believers to seek knowledge, “even as far as China”. ..... Saudi Arabia’s King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, which opened in 2009, has a $20 billion endowment that even rich American universities would envy. .... The rulers of neighbouring Qatar are bumping up research spending from 0.8% to a planned 2.8% of GDP: depending on growth, that could reach $5 billion a year. Research spending in Turkey increased by over 10% each year between 2005 and 2010, by which year its cash outlays were twice Norway’s. ..... In the 2000 to 2009 period Turkey’s output of scientific papers rose from barely 5,000 to 22,000; with less cash, Iran’s went up 1,300, to nearly 15,000. Quantity does not imply quality, but the papers are getting better, too. Scientific journals, and not just the few based in the Islamic world, are citing these papers more frequently. A study in 2011 by Thomson Reuters, an information firm, shows that in the early 1990s other publishers cited scientific papers from Egypt, Iran, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey (the most prolific Muslim countries) four times less often than the global average. By 2009 it was only half as often. In the category of best-regarded mathematics papers, Iran now performs well above average, with 1.7% of its papers among the most-cited 1%, with Egypt and Saudi Arabia also doing well. Turkey scores highly on engineering. ..... Many Muslims are troubled by the notion that humans share a common ancestor with apes. ..... fewer than 20% in Indonesia, Malaysia or Pakistan believed in Darwin’s theories. In Egypt it was just 8%. ..... Theodosius Dobzhansky, one of the founders of genetics, saying that “nothing in biology makes sense except in the light of evolution”. Science describes how things change; Islam, in a larger sense, explains why, she says. ...... according to Islam, the soul does not enter the fetus until between 40 and 120 days after conception—so scientists at the Royan Institute in Iran are able to carry out stem-cell research without attracting censure. ..... Muhammad Morsi, Egypt’s president, is a former professor of engineering at Zagazig University, near Cairo. He has a PhD in materials science from the University of Southern California (his dissertation was entitled “High-Temperature Electrical Conductivity and Defect Structure of Donor-Doped Al2O{-3}”). ..... The political storms shaking the Middle East could promote not only democracy, but revive scientific freethinking, too.


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Saturday, January 19, 2013

The FDRA's Options



Considering what the NC and the UML are doing, and what the president has been doing, what are the FDRA's options?

(1) The UCPN(M) Should Transform The CPN(M), Not The Other Way Round

Some recent comments by Prachanda can be understood in terms of him competing politically with Baidya who is further to the left than Prachanda. It is understandable that he feels the compulsion. But the solution is not Prachanda becoming more like Baidya. The solution is to attempt political fusion.

Any revival of the YCL will risk a relabeling of the Maoists as terrorists by the US. Getting rid of that label was hard work. The Maoists should not do anything to get that label back. The Maoists going back to their old ways would be the surest way to undo the 2006 revolution.

Instead there should be an agreement on people's revolt - getting people out into the streets - as a legitimate political weapon. More important, the Maoists should take a stand that Nepal has to be turned into a multi-party democracy of state funded parties. That would give Nepal a political system unlike that in India, Britain, America or China. That political fusion is the solution to the Baidya-Baburam tussle. I am surprised Baburam is not waging a more vicious ideological struggle.

(2) Maoist Unification, Madhesi Unification

The two Maoist parties should seek to unite. All Madhesi parties should become one party. That would be best for the cause of federalism. That would also be good for post constitution writing. A two party alliance of the Maoists and the Madhesis would make it possible for Baburam to do in Nepal what Nitish is doing in Bihar.

(3) Home To NC, Finance To UML

The FDRA should make it public that that is as far as it is willing to go to form an all party government. That or the FDRA would launch a mass movement to pressure the president to pass the election related ordinances.

(4) Showing The Ceremonial President His Place

The president can not actively engage in politics. That is what he has been doing. The FDRA could boycott all meetings called by the president until he passes the election related ordinances. And the FDRA should get out into the streets. Mass meetings and mass street demonstrations would be a good idea. I mean, I am sad street action has become necessary. But if that is what the anti-federalists want, that is what they should get. Street demonstrations would be enough. Prachanda does not have to talk about reviving the YCL or the parallel government. For one, such talk will likely break up the FDRA. That is a no no.

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'No reviving people's govt, people's courts, army'
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Thursday, December 27, 2012

In A Revived Constituent Assembly

English: The chart shows the composition of th...
English: The chart shows the composition of the Constituent Assembly Members (2008) vis a vis the parties they belong. Also percentage of the parties in CA is given. Gender/Women composition can also be found. Please contact Bal Krishna Jha (balkrishnajha@gmail.com) in case doubt/query. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)


I am crunching some numbers based on this. And I remember Baidya claiming they are now the third largest party, so I am guessing they have more MPs than does the UML. I don't have the figures for where the Madhesi parties stand after their many splits.

UCPN(M) -- 119
NC ------- 115
CPN(M) --- 110
UML ------ 108*
MJF(D) ---- 13
NMSP ------ 13
MJF(R) ---- 12
MJFN ------ 14
TMLP ------ 11
TMLP(N) --- 10
RPP ------- 8
CPN(ML) --- 9
SP -------- 5
SSP ------- 4
Others ---- 46 (17 parties)

* I have no knowledge of how many of these are now with Ashok Rai.

Looks like both the Maoists-Madhesis and the NC-UML need the help of the Baidya group to be able to form a majority government if the assembly is revived. Or if the NC-UML bring a no confidence motion the Baidya group would have to abstain for the Baburam government to survive.

The key thing, though, is the federalists already have the signatures of two thirds of the members of the assembly. Federalism can be secured through the assembly.

FDRA rules out spring polls without package deal
the decision that if the major parties fail to reach consensus in a package deal by January 9 then the fresh polls won’t be held in April/May. ..... if the parties are incapable of hammering out a consensus between the parties then the FDRA will put forth a demand for the resurrection of the Constituent Assembly (CA) to promulgate the much hyped constitution. ..... decision to transform the PM Bhattarai led care taker government into consensus one as proposed earlier, failing which the ruling alliance will forward the name of another candidate from the ruling coalition. ..... If the parties do not agree to these options then there is no alternative but to go for neutral government
Gachhadhar rules out CA revival‚ clamours for fresh polls
the parties should forge consensus at the earliest and go for fresh polls rather than opting for the CA revival as it is complicated and impossible in the present scenario..... In today’s FDRA meeting most of the leaders had asserted for the reinstatement of the CA.
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To Revive Or Not To Revive


For the longest time the Nepali Congress people have been blaming Baburam Bhattarai saying he is the one who dissolved the constituent assembly. In short, they have been missing the constituent assembly. Logic would say they would get excited about the idea of reviving the constituent assembly, to getting it back. That does not seem to be the case.

FDRA for CA revival if no package deal by Jan 9
A meeting of FDRA, an alliance of nearly two dozen political parties, including the UCPN (Maoist), held in the capital on Thursday concluded that the CA revival would be an easy and the least expensive option to take the constitution writing process ahead. ...... the meeting stressed the need for reviving the CA also for constitutional amendment
NC, UML reject CA revival option
"Revival of the CA was not an appropriate solution to end the present political crisis even in the past. It is not a right approach for the present either and it going to be a solution in future," Congress leader Minendra Rijal .... Sushil Koirala had ruled out any possibility of his party supporting CA revival proposal
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Tuesday, December 11, 2012

The Anti Federal Alliance (AFA)


Baburam's Options
Broadening The Ruling Alliance

The FDRA hoping for some kind of a consensus with the Anti Federal Alliance would have been like the parties seeking consensus with the king in 2005. The polarization at that point was necessary. That is how progress was made, by making it the king versus the rest. The polarization today is also necessary. This is how federalism will be introduced in Nepal.
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