Democracy For Nepal

Tuesday, December 02, 2014

पहिला सहमतिको संविधान अनि मात्र सहमतिको सरकार

पहिला सहमतिको सरकार बनाएर त्यसपछि सहमतिको संविधान बनाउने प्रयास Horse Before The Cart हुनेछ।

चार चौथाईको संविधान, चार चौथाईको सरकार

China And SAARC

English: The Seventh Dalai Lama, Tsangyang Gyatso (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Xi Jinping 习近平 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

SAARC is an organization of democracies. China can join SAARC once it has become a democracy.

China has had an impressive economic track record from 1990 to 2010. But the days of double digit growth rates are over. Xi Jinping is a good guy, but if he wants to take his country back to double digit growth rates his one option is bold political reforms leading all the way to plurality. And the best way to make those moves might be from the very top.

Yes, it is about Tibet. Tibet is an integral part of South Asia. It is by way of Tibet that China has any currency in South Asia. The ties go back thousands of years. Buddha was born in Nepal but it is in Tibet that Buddhism has its deepest roots. Those bonds are strong. A Lhasa to Lumbini railway track would symbolize that.

No one wants to go back to the way things were. The Dalai Lama himself does not. The idea of the same person being head of state and head of religion are outdated. Tibet wants and deserves its prosperity. Tibetans don't want a separate country. But their religious freedom will not be denied forever. Their human rights are as sacrosanct as that of anyone else.

And to that end many options are available. If a larger global alliance of democracies - America, India, Japan - will have to be forged, so be it. And that would be sad. Because this is not a geopolitical struggle to put China down. China is a proud country with a proud heritage. About 800 years ago China was the leading country on the planet, and it might still become that. And China has a lot to teach. China could teach campaign finance reform to America and India. That is there. China has lifted more people out of poverty than any other power. That is exemplary and India should learn. When the 2008 recession hit, if it were not for the strength of the Chinese economy, the world might have gone into a deep Depression.

The Chinese are a proud people and they deserve their rightful place under the sun. They have so much to give, they have so much to teach. I would like to see a day when you can get on the train in any part of the world and end up in Beijing. Why not? The sound finances of the Chinese government might help fund much needed infrastructure projects all across the world.

But there is no fighting the inevitable. China owes itself bold political reforms. I want Taiwan to be part of China, but that will not happen unless China steers itself to political pluralism.

Obama, Modi, And The Sling Shot Effect
Politician Number One: Modi

Sushil Koirala Wants Less Than Four States

His argument is Nepal has not been able to build even a parliament building for the government inn Kathmandu. Is that an argument against democracy itself?

Hridayesh Tripathi With Rishi Dhamala

Monday, December 01, 2014

चार चौथाईको संविधान, चार चौथाईको सरकार

अर्को सरकार नेपाली काँग्रेस + एमाओबादी + मधेसी मोर्चाको सरकार
मधेसी मोर्चाको Structure को फोर्मुला

(१) नेपाली काँग्रेस
(२) एमाले
(३) एमाओबादी
(४) मधेसी मोर्चा

२००६ अप्रिल क्रांतिका यी शक्तिले दुई तिहाई होइन चार चौथाईको संविधान बनाउने हो। र त्यसका लागि चार चौथाईको सरकार बनाउनु पर्छ भने त्यो पनि ठीकै हो। एक वर्ष काँग्रेसले प्रधान मंत्री पद खायो। अब एमालेको पालो। त्यसपछि एमाओवादीको प्रधान मंत्री, र चौथो वर्ष मधेसी मोर्चाको प्रधान मंत्री। त्यस अनुसार अगाडि बढ़न सकिन्छ। तर त्यसका लागि पहिला चार चौथाईको संविधान आउनु पर्यो।

नक्शा कोर्ने नेताले होइन

Bad Politics, Poor Nepal, Untapped Water Resources

नेपालमा एउटा घातक political class छ जसले नेपाललाई अहिलेसम्म गरीब बनाएर राखेको हो र त्यसै रुपमा राखि रहन चाहन्छ। नेपालको नदी जब भारत पुग्छ, त्यो नदी र त्यो पानी भारतको भयो। त्यो अन्तर्राष्ट्रिय मान्यता र कानुन हो। तर भारतले त्यस्ता आफ्ना नदी नालाका बारे योजना बनाउँदा शंकाको दृष्टिले हेर्ने? नदी नालाको देश हुँदैन। देश बनाएको मान्छेले हो। बिजुली उत्पादन, बाढ़ी पहिरो नियन्त्रण, सिंचाई का लागि योजना बनाउँदा comprehensive किसिमले हेर्नु पर्ने हुन्छ। बिहार मा flood control गर्न नेपालको सीमाना भित्र नै केही गर्नु पर्ने हुन्छ। त्यो नेपालका लागि समस्या कसरी भयो? त्यस्ता परियोजनाबाट नेपाल का लागि पनि सकेसम्म कसरी फाइदा लिने, त्यता तर्फ सोच्ने हो। बार्गेनिंग गर्ने हो, लिंडे ढिपी नगर्ने हो। नेपालको गरीबीलाई नेपालको राष्ट्रियता ठान्ने तत्व हरु बाट सावधान।

दिल्ली र बेइजिंग का मानिस दिन भरि नेपाल बारे सोंचेर बस्छन् भन्ने भ्रम फाल्ने हो। त्यो यथार्थ होइन। दिल्ली र बेइजिंग दुवै एक अर्का को अर्थतंत्रमा योगदान पुर्याउन खोजेका ताकत हुन। दुबैको समस्या गरीबी भन्ने कुरा दुबैलाई थाहा छ। नेपाल काले पनि थाहा पाउनु पर्ने कुरा त्यही नै हो। विकासको काममा बाधा नबन्ने। Thank You भन्न सिक्ने, appreciate गर्ने।

१००% पूँजी लगाउने, १००% काम गर्ने प्राइवेट कम्पनीले त्यो परियोजना बाट उत्पादन हुने बिजुली १००% नेपाल लाई दिने कुरा त आउँदैन। १००% नेपाललाई दिन पर्यो भनेर तर्क सार्ने हरु पनि देखिएका छन।

नेपालमा गार्हो पर्यो भने भारतीय कंपनी भुटान जान्छ, गएको पनि छ। FDI देश भित्र ल्याउन compete गर्ने हो। आउन लागेको FDI लाई पनि धपाउने होइन।

Modi Noticed A "Trust Deficit"
नेपालको नदीहरुमा भारतको गिद्दे दृष्टि

South Asia’s hydro-politics Water in them hills Bad politics should no longer prevent Nepal and its neighbours making the most of some amazing geology

Himalayan rivers, fed by glacial meltwater and monsoon rain, offer an immense resource. They could spin turbines to light up swathes of energy-starved South Asia. Exports of electricity and power for Nepal’s own homes and factories could invigorate the dirt-poor economy. National income per person in Nepal was just $692 last year, below half the level for South Asia as a whole. ...... South Asian Association for Regional Co-operation ..... Governments think the normally rudderless body could find a purpose in energy integration ....... Research done for Britain’s Department for International Development suggests four big hydro projects could earn Nepal a total of $17 billion in the next 30 years—not bad considering its GDP last year was a mere $19 billion. ...... All Nepal’s rivers, if tapped, could feasibly produce about 40GW of clean energy—a sixth of India’s total installed capacity today. Add the rivers of Pakistan, Bhutan and north India (see map) and the total trebles. Bhutan has made progress: 3GW of hydro plants are to be built to produce electricity exports. The three already generating produce 1GW out of a total of 1.5GW from hydro. These rely on Indian loans, expertise and labour. ....... In Nepal projects were once scuppered by local politics, a ten-year civil war, suspicion of India and a lack of regulation that put off creditors. ...... the terms of the projects look generous to the host. For Upper Karnali, GMR will set aside 12% of electricity production, free, for Nepali consumers. It will also give Nepal a 27% stake in the venture. After 25 years of operation the plant will be handed to Nepal. ........ radical change that opened India’s domestic power market a decade ago. Big private firms now generate and trade electricity there and look abroad for projects ...... South Asia will have to triple its energy production over the next 20 years. Integrating power grids and letting firms trade electricity internationally would be a big help. It would expand market opportunities and allow more varied use of energy sources to help meet differing peak demand. Nepal could export to India in summer, for example, to run fans and air conditioners. India would export energy back uphill in winter when Nepali rivers dry and turbines stop spinning. ..... Governments that learn to handle energy investments by the billion might manage to attract other industries, too. Nepal’s abundant limestone, for example, would tempt cement producers once power supplies are sufficient. In the mountains, it is not only treks that are rewarding.