Sunday, November 24, 2013

Three Governments In Four Years

Prachanda Portrait
Prachanda Portrait (Photo credit: izahorsky)
Total Seats: 601
Nepali Congress 214
UML 205
Maoist 94
Kamal Thapa 33
RPP 16
Gachhedar 11
TMLP 10
Others 7
Nominated 26 (Give 10 to the Baidya group)

NC (214) + Maoist (94) = 308
UML (205) + Maoist (94) + Madhesi parties (23) = 322
NC (214) + UML (205) = 419
Maoist (94) + Kamal Thapa (33) + RPP (16) + Gachhedar (11) + TMLP (10) + Others (7) + Baidya (10) + Nominated (16) = 197 + NC
Maoist (94) + Kamal Thapa (33) + RPP (16) + Gachhedar (11) + TMLP (10) + Others (7) + Baidya (10) + Nominated (16) = 197 + UML
Maoist (94) + Gachhedar (11) + TMLP (10) + Others (7) + Baidya (10) + Nominated (16) = 148 + NC
Maoist (94) + Gachhedar (11) + TMLP (10) + Others (7) + Baidya (10) + Nominated (16) = 148 + UML

Political arithmetic shows the Maoists could come into power at least six different ways. In several such scenarios the Maoists could even be leading the government. Nepal has a tendency to get a new government every year. If this parliament is to last four years and the government changes every year, the Maoists could be in power for two of the four years. That is a distinct possibility.

Many Maoist, Madhesi top guns lose in Nepal poll
Splits, hunger for power behind Madhesi parties´ poor show

चुनावी एकीकरणका लागि सद्भावनाको वार्ता टोली
The crumbling clan
3 ex-PMs, over 45 ministers contesting polls from eastern region
Many party central leaders join Mahato's SP
Mahat, Bhattarai engage in twitter war
'Intra-party rift may result in loss in Madhes'
NC to go for 7-province model with 3 in Tarai
NC to accept donation for polls only through banks
Army's Rs 288m deposits at high risk
TMDP leader found dead under mysterious circumstances

Facts and fiction
Madhesi parties drop 'One Madhes one pradesh'

एमाओवादीको दाबी- तराई बढाउने पहाडमा नगुमाउने
एमाले मतदाता केन्द्रित अभियानमा
कोइरालाको विशिष्ट 'प्रोटोकल'
कोइराला र देउवा गुट भेलामा
जनमत हाम्रै पक्षमा : कांग्रेस
Internet penetration reaches 26.1 percent
UCPN (M) ‘at low ebb’ since last CA polls
Fireside with K P Sharma Oli - August 19, 2013
Madhes hold, candidate pick ‘key to NC poll win’

Madhesi messiahs
MPRF-D to go for adjustment with TMDP
पूर्व सभासद लक्ष्मण मेहता सद्भावनामा प्रवेश
एकीकरणको नाममा राजनीतिक प्रोपोगण्डा - भरतविमल यादव (वरिष्ठ नेता मधेशी जनअधिकार फोरम, नेपाल)
अध्यक्षहरू नै एकीकरणका बाधक छन् - प्रमोद प्रसाद गुप्ता (महासचिव राष्ट्रिय मधेश समाजवादी पार्टी)
नेसपा (आ.)का कार्यवाहक अध्यक्ष सदभावनामा
मधेशको सशस्त्र आन्दोलनलाई बदनाम गराउन खोजिएको छ -रामलोचन ठाकुर( स्वामीजी) ( संघीय मधेशी मोर्चाका संयोजक तथा जनतान्त्रिक तराई मधेश मुक्ति टाइर्टसका राष्ट्रिय अध्यक्ष
राजनीतिक निकासका लागि संघीय सद्भावनाको अभियान
मधेशप्रति एमाले इमान्दार छैन : महासेठ
Yahoo Tops Google for U.S Web Traffic in July, ComScore Says
Author of fake video must apologise to Amitabh Bachchan: Narendra Modi
China accused of incursion in India's Arunachal Pradesh
Author of fake Narendra Modi video apologises to Amitabh Bachchan
रवीन्द्र अधिकारी र गगन थापासँग-17.08.13
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